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Death by Medicine (Appendix)
By Gary Null,
PhD; Carolyn Dean MD, ND; Martin Feldman,
MD; Debora Rasio, MD; and Dorothy Smith, PhD
OFFICE OF TECHNOLOGY
ASSESSMENT (OTA)
Health Care
Technology and Its Assessment in Eight
Countries, 1995.
General Facts
In 1990, US life expectancy was 71.8 years
for men and 78.8 years for women, among
the lowest rates in the developed
countries.
The 1990 US infant mortality rate in the
US
was 9.2 per 1,000 live births, in the
bottom half of the distribution among all
developed countries.
Health status is correlated with
socioeconomic status.
Health care is not universal.
Health care is based on the free market
system with no fixed budget or limitations
on expansion.
Health care accounts for 14% of the US GNP
($800 billion in 1993).
The federal government does no central
planning, though it is the major purchaser
of health care for older people and some
poor people.
Americans are less satisfied with their
health care system than people in other
developed countries.
US medicine specializes in expensive
medical technology; some large US cities
have more magnetic resonance image (MRI)
scanners than most countries.
Huge public and private investments in
medical research and pharmaceutical
development drive this “technological arms
race.”
Any efforts to restrain technological
developments in health care are opposed by
policymakers concerned about negative
impacts on medical-technology industries.
Hospitals
In 1990, the US had 5,480 acute-care
hospitals, 880 specialty (psychiatric,
long-term care, and rehabilitation)
hospitals, and 340 federal (military,
veterans, and Native American) hospitals,
or 2.7 hospitals per 100,000 population.
In 1990, the average length of stay for 33
million admissions was 9.2 days. The bed
occupancy rate was 66%. Lengths of stay
were shorter and admission rates lower
than other countries.
In 1990, the US had 615,000 physicians, or
2.4 per 1,000 population; 33% were primary
care (family medicine, internal medicine,
and pediatrics) and 67% were specialists.
In 1991, government-run health care
spending totaled $81 billion.
Total US health care spending rose to $752
billion in 1991 from $70 billion in 1950.
Spending grew five-fold per capita.
Reasons for increased healthcare spending
include:
The high cost of defensive medicine,
with an escalation in services solely to
avoid malpractice litigation.
US health care based on defensive
medicine costs nearly $45 billion per
year, or about 5% of total health care
spending, according to one source.
The availability and use of new medical
technologies have contributed the most
to increased health care spending, argue
many analysts. These costs are
impossible to quantify.
The reasons government attempts to control
health care costs have failed include:
Market incentive and profit-motive
involvement in the financing and
organization of health care, including
private insurers, hospital systems,
physicians, and the drug and
medical-device industries.
Expansion is the goal of free
enterprise.
Health-Related Research and
Development
The US spends more than any other country
on health-related R&D.
In 1989, the federal government spent $9.2
billion on R&D, while private industry
spent an additional $9.4 billion.
Total US R&D expenditures rose 50% from
1983 to 1992.
NIH receives about half of US government
R&D funding.
NIH spent more on basic research ($4.1
billion in 1989) than for clinical trials
of medical treatments on humans ($519
million in 1989).
Most of the clinical trials evaluate new
treatment protocols for cancer and
complications of AIDS, and do not study
existing treatments, even though their
effectiveness is in many cases unknown and
questionable.
In 1990, the NIH had just begun to do
meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness
analysis.
Pharmaceutical and Medical-Device Industries
About two-thirds of the industry's $9.4
billion budget went to drug research;
device manufacturers spent the remaining
one-third.
In addition to R&D, the medical industry
spent 24% of total sales on promoting
their products and 15% of total sales on
development.
Total marketing expenses in 1990 were over
$5 billion.
Many products provide no benefit over
existing products.
Public and private health care consumers
buy these products.
If health care spending is perceived as a
problem, a highly profitable drug industry
exacerbates the problem.
Controlling Health Care Technology
The FDA ensures the safety and efficacy of
drugs, biologics, and medical devices.
The FDA does not consider costs of
therapy.
The FDA does not consider the
effectiveness of a therapy.
The FDA does not compare a product to
currently marketed products
The FDA does not consider nondrug
alternatives for a given clinical problem.
It costs $200 million in development costs
to bring a new drug to market. AIDS-drug
interest groups forced new regulations
that speed up the approval process.
Such drugs should be subject to greater
post-marketing surveillance requirements.
As of 1995, these provisions had not yet
come into play.
Many argue that reductions in the
pre-approval testing of drugs open the
possibility of significant undiscovered
toxicities.
Health Care Technology Assessment
Failure to evaluate technology was a focus
of a 1978 report from OTA with examples of
many common medical practices supported by
limited published data (10-20%).
In 1978, Congress created the National
Center for Health Care Technology (NCHCT)
to advise Medicare and Medicaid.
With an annual budget of $4 million, NCHCT
published three broad assessments of
high-priority technologies and made about
75 coverage recommendations to Medicare.
Congress disbanded NCHCT in 1981. The
medical profession opposed it from the
beginning. The AMA testified before
Congress in 1981 that “clinical policy
analysis and judgments are better made—and
are being responsibly made—within the
medical profession. Assessing risks and
costs, as well as benefits, has been
central to the exercise of good medical
judgment for decades.”
The medical device lobby also opposed
government oversight by NCHCT.
Examples of Lack of Proper Management of
HealthCare
Treatments for Coronary
Artery Disease
Since the early 1970s, the number of
coronary artery bypass surgeries (CABGS)
has risen rapidly without government
regulation or clinical trials.
Angioplasty for single vessel disease was
introduced in 1978. The first published
trial of angioplasty versus medical
treatment was done in 1992.
Angioplasty did not reduce the number of
CABGS, as was promoted.
Both procedures increase in number every
year as the patient population grows older
and sicker.
Rates of use are higher in white patients
and private insurance patients, and vary
greatly by geographic region, suggesting
that use of these procedures is based on
non-clinical factors.
As of 1995, the NIH consensus program had
not assessed CABGS since 1980 and had
never assessed angioplasty.
RAND researchers evaluated CABGS in New York
in 1990. They reviewed 1,300 procedures
and found 2% were inappropriate, 90% were
appropriate, and 7% were uncertain. For
1,300 angioplasties, 4% were inappropriate
and 38% uncertain. Using RAND methodologies, a panel of British physicians rated
twice as many procedures “inappropriate”
as did a
US panel rating the same clinical cases.
The New York
numbers are in question because New York
State limits the number of surgery
centers, and the per-capita supply of
cardiac surgeons in New York is about
one-half of the national average.
The estimated five-year cost is $33,000
for angioplasty and $40,000 for CABGS.
Angioplasty did not lower costs, due to
its high failure rates.
Computed Tomography (CT)
The first CT scanner in the US was
installed at the Mayo Clinic in 1973. By
1992, the number of operational CT
scanners in the US had grown to 6,060. By
comparison, in 1993 there were 216 CT
units in Canada .
There is little information available on
how CT scans improve or affect patient
outcomes
In some institutions, up to 90% of scans
performed were negative.
Approval by the FDA was not required for
CT scanners, nor was any evidence of
safety or efficacy.
Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI)
MRIs were introduced in Great Britain in
1978 and in the US in 1980. By 1988, there
were 1,230 units and by 1992 between 2,800
and 3,000.
A definitive review published in 1994
found less than 30 studies of 5,000 that
were prospective comparisons of diagnostic
accuracy or therapeutic choice.
The American College of Physicians
assessed MRI studies and rated 13 of 17
trials as “weak,” i.e., lacking data
concerning therapeutic impact or patient
outcomes.
The OTA concluded: “It is evident that
hospitals, physician-entrepreneurs, and
medical device manufacturers have
approached MRI and CT as commodities with
high-profit potential, and decision-making
on the acquisition and use of these
procedures has been highly influenced by
this approach. Clinical evaluation,
appropriate patient selection, and
matching supply to legitimate demand might
be viewed as secondary forces.”
Laparoscopic Surgery
Laparoscopic cholecystectomy was
introduced at a professional surgical
society meeting in late 1989. By 1992, 85%
of all cholecystectomies were performed
laparoscopically.
There was an associated increase of 30% in
the number of cholecystectomies performed.
Because of the increased volume of gall
bladder operations, their total cost
increased 11.4% between 1988 and 1992,
despite a 25.1% drop in the average cost
per surgery.
The mortality rate for gall bladder
surgeries did not decline as a result of
the lower risk because so many more were
performed.
When studies were finally done on
completed cases, the results showed that
laparoscopic cholecystectomy was
associated with reduced inpatient
duration, decreased pain, and a shorter
period of restricted activity. But rates
of bile duct and major vessel injury
increased and it was suggested that these
rates were worse for people with acute
cholecystitis. No clinical trials had been
done to clarify this issue.
Patient demand, fueled by substantial
media attention, was a major force in
promoting rapid adoption of these
procedures.
The major manufacturer of laparoscopic
equipment produced the video that
introduced the procedure in 1989.
Doctors were given two-day training
seminars before performing the surgery on
patients.
Infant Mortality
In 1990, the US ranked 24th in infant
mortality of 38 developed countries with a
rate of 9.2 deaths per 1,000 live births.
US black infant mortality is 18.6 per
1,000 live births, compared to 8.8 for
whites.
Screening for Breast Cancer
Mammography screening in women under 50
has always been a subject of debate.
In 1992, the Canadian National Breast
Cancer Study of 50,000 women showed that
mammography had no effect on mortality for
women aged 40-50.
The National Cancer Institute (NCI)
refused to change its recommendations on
mammography.
The American Cancer Society decided to
wait for more studies on mammography.
In December 1993, NCI announced that women
over 50 should have routine screenings
every one to two years but that younger
women would derive no benefit from
mammography.
Summary
The OTA concluded: “There are no
mechanisms in place to limit dissemination
of technologies regardless of their
clinical value.”
Shortly after the release of this report,
the OTA was disbanded.
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